Evidence for Large Increases in Clear‐Air Turbulence Over the Past Four Decades

نویسندگان

چکیده

Clear-air turbulence (CAT) is hazardous to aircraft and projected intensify in response future climate change. However, our understanding of past CAT trends currently limited, being derived largely from outdated reanalysis data. Here we analyze globally during 1979–2020 a modern data set using 21 diagnostics. We find clear evidence large increases around the midlatitudes at cruising altitudes. For example, an average point over North Atlantic, total annual duration light-or-greater increased by 17% 466.5 hr 1979 546.8 2020, with even larger relative changes for moderate-or greater (increasing 37% 70.0 96.1 hr) severe-or-greater 55% 17.7 27.4 hr). Similar are also found continental USA. Our study represents best yet that has four decades.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1944-8007', '0094-8276']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103814